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How many copies did Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 948k–1.5M
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.4M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–3.4M copies

≈ $15.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Duck Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

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