How much revenue did Rivals of Aether make?

$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rivals of Aether sell?

Q: How many copies did Rivals of Aether sell?

1.3M to 2.1M copies, based on its 38k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.3M–2.1M; $10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut; from 38k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rivals of Aether and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Rivals of Aether's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–3.3M

best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)

Games like Rivals of Aether

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–3.3M copies

≈ $31.9M–$37.0M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fighting (3 of 3) and 2D Fighter (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Fighting, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Street Fighter™ 6 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	80k reviews Very Positive	2D FighterFighting
Mortal Kombat X 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	61k reviews Very Positive	FightingGore
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Fighting2D Fighter