How much revenue did GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- make?

$18.2M–$49.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- sell?

Q: How many copies did GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- sell?

1.7M to 2.7M copies, based on its 67k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.7M–2.7M; $18.2M–$49.0M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.4M before the cut; from 67k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–4.3M

best case 5.7M (Stick Fight: The Game)

Games like GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-

The middle of these games

≈ 2.5M–4.3M copies

≈ $27.5M–$71.1M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Stick Fight: The Game at ≈ 4.3M–7.0M copies, ≈ $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter, priced around $5.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stick Fight: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before the cut	$4.99	125k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Street Fighter™ 6 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.5M before the cut	$39.99	79k reviews Very Positive	2D FighterFighting
TEKKEN 7 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.1M–$97.0M after Steam's cut $65.6M–$149.3M before the cut	$39.99	95k reviews Very Positive	FightingAction
TEKKEN 8 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $19.7M–$53.1M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.7M before the cut	$39.99	72k reviews Mixed	Fighting3D Fighter
DRAGON BALL FighterZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.3M after Steam's cut $105.0M–$238.9M before the cut	$89.99	77k reviews Very Positive	FightingAnime
Mortal Kombat X 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.3M–$43.8M after Steam's cut $29.6M–$67.4M before the cut	$19.99	61k reviews Very Positive	FightingGore
Mortal Kombat 11 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.0M–$123.7M after Steam's cut $83.6M–$190.2M before the cut	$49.99	116k reviews Very Positive	FightingGore
Rivals of Aether 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before the cut	$29.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Fighting2D Fighter