How much revenue did Nitro Express make?

$100k–$270k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nitro Express sell?

Q: How many copies did Nitro Express sell?

28k to 46k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 28k–46k; $100k–$270k after Steam's cut $182k–$415k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nitro Express and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nitro Express's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 172k–283k

best case 769k (Neon Abyss)

Games like Nitro Express

A typical game among these

≈ 172k–283k copies

≈ $1.2M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon Abyss at ≈ 586k–952k copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 442 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and Side Scroller (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Platformer, priced around $31. The breakout hits carry Rogue-like + Loot + Procedural Generation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Warhammer 40,000: Shootas, Blood & Teef 2022	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $433k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $787k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	PvPAdventure
Boring Man - Online Tactical Stickman Combat 2015	Est. copies ≈ 264k–430k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
Neon Abyss 2020	Est. copies ≈ 586k–952k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut	$31.49	24k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-like Platformer
Laika: Aged Through Blood 2023	Est. copies ≈ 167k–272k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $919k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericArcade
Mega Man X Legacy Collection 2018	Est. copies ≈ 153k–248k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $839k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionPlatformer
Mega Man 11 2018	Est. copies ≈ 167k–271k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ActionPlatformer
HUNTDOWN 2021	Est. copies ≈ 110k–179k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
Mega Man Legacy Collection 2015	Est. copies ≈ 264k–430k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerRetro