How much revenue did Mega Man 11 make?

$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mega Man 11 sell?

Q: How many copies did Mega Man 11 sell?

167k to 271k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 167k–271k; $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mega Man 11 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mega Man 11's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–4.6M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Mega Man 11

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–4.6M copies

≈ $26.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Metroidvania, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Broforce 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	61k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AmericaAction
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Cuphead 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultCartoon
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult