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How many copies did Mega Man X Legacy Collection sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 153k–248k
$839k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mega Man X Legacy Collection and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mega Man X Legacy Collection's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.2M
best case 16.5M (Portal)
Games like Mega Man X Legacy Collection

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies

≈ $9.2M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Sonic Generations Collection
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerGreat Soundtrack
Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack
Sonic Mania
2017
Est. copies
≈ 995k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great Soundtrack2D
The Expendabros
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayAction
Psychonauts
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerComedy
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 645k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerAdventure

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