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How big is The Expendabros?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
from 18k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Expendabros and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Expendabros's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–7.9M
best case 12.1M (People Playground)
Games like The Expendabros

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–7.9M copies

≈ $17.4M–$68.6M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and Action Roguelike (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 4.5M–7.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free to PlayOpen World
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
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≈ 3.0M–4.9M
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Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
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249k reviews
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Colony SimBase-Building
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 309k–501k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
6k reviews
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MultiplayerFPS
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
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Card GameMultiplayer
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

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