Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Islets sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 64k–104k
$351k–$945k after Steam's cut $639k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Islets and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Islets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–8.3M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Islets

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–8.3M copies

≈ $11.4M–$63.1M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (4 of 4) and Souls-like (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GRIME
2021
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.