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How many copies did Onde sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
from 359 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Onde and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Onde's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–1.3M
best case 3.9M (Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition)
Games like Onde

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–1.3M copies

≈ $14k–$6.8M after Steam's cut

from ~513 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 40 to 54.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Rhythm (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OCO
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$4.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
140
2013
Est. copies
≈ 297k–483k
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $741k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
140x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Vectronom
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$108k before Steam's cut
$9.99
329 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmPuzzle-Platformer
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
121x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Krimson
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$9.99
132 reviews
Very Positive
Songbird Symphony
2019
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$94k–$252k after Steam's cut $171k–$388k before Steam's cut
$16.99
697 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
DGGWare
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
70 reviews
Very Positive
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