How much revenue did Cold Start: The Callisto make?

$2k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cold Start: The Callisto sell?

Q: How many copies did Cold Start: The Callisto sell?

521 to 846 copies, based on its 21 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 521–846; $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut; from 21 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cold Start: The Callisto and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cold Start: The Callisto's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k

best case 19k (The 7th Guest VR)

Games like Cold Start: The Callisto

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $11k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~97 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The 7th Guest VR at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $79k–$212k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 43 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 141.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Gothic + Dark Fantasy + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The 7th Guest VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $79k–$212k after Steam's cut $143k–$326k before Steam's cut	$19.99	578 reviews Very Positive	AdventureVR
The Secret of Retropolis 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut	$9.99	189 reviews Very Positive	VRPoint & Click
Retropolis 2: Never Say Goodbye 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut	$24.99	53 reviews Very Positive	AdventureVR
Descending I - House of Nightmares 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$9.99	50 reviews Very Positive	AdventureVR
Ionia 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$8.99	97 reviews Mixed	CasualVR
流言侦探 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut	$9.99	118 reviews Very Positive	IndieWord Game
The Assembly 2016	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $58k–$155k after Steam's cut $105k–$238k before Steam's cut	$29.99	168 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureIndie
Shores of Loci 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$14.99	58 reviews Very Positive	CasualPuzzle