How much revenue did Bear's Restaurant make?

$65k–$174k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bear's Restaurant sell?

Q: How many copies did Bear's Restaurant sell?

18k to 29k copies, based on its 730 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 18k–29k; $65k–$174k after Steam's cut $118k–$268k before Steam's cut; from 730 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bear's Restaurant and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bear's Restaurant's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 219k–1.1M

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like Bear's Restaurant

A typical game among these

≈ 219k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.1M–$12.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 358 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
A Space for the Unbound 2023	Est. copies ≈ 196k–318k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
The Cat Lady 2013	Est. copies ≈ 398k–648k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$8.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Horror Story Rich
家有大貓 Nekojishi 2017	Est. copies ≈ 144k–234k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	LGBTQ+Visual Novel
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin 2020	Est. copies ≈ 142k–231k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	ActionFarming Sim
In Sound Mind 2021	Est. copies ≈ 174k–283k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Nine Sols 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like