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How many copies did Killer Gin Battle Arcade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Killer Gin Battle Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Killer Gin Battle Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 195–1k
best case 24k (LEGO® Brawls)
Games like Killer Gin Battle Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 195–1k copies

≈ $423–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~20 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: LEGO® Brawls at ≈ 18k–29k copies, ≈ $49k–$132k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 46 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + LEGO, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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$285–$767 after Steam's cut $519–$1k before Steam's cut
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CD-RUN
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ZADETTE
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4.5x vs typical
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$238–$638 after Steam's cut $432–$982 before Steam's cut
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6 user reviews
Precision PlatformerBattle Royale
Boxfight
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$122–$330 after Steam's cut $222–$507 before Steam's cut
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ActionCasual
LEGO® Brawls
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
37x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$203k before Steam's cut
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Tank Fight
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$7.99
25 reviews
Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.