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How many copies did Boxfight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$122–$330 after Steam's cut $222–$507 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Boxfight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Boxfight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–3.1M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Boxfight

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–3.1M copies

≈ $9.8M–$18.6M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Super Head Ball
2021
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$450–$1k after Steam's cut $818–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
11 reviews
Positive
Arena ShooterLocal Multiplayer
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Trine 2: Complete Story
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Spelunky 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 545k–886k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Platformer2D Platformer
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute

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