How much revenue did Webbed make?

$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Webbed sell?

Q: How many copies did Webbed sell?

380k to 617k copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 380k–617k; $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Webbed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Webbed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 333k–1.6M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Webbed

A typical game among these

≈ 333k–1.6M copies

≈ $2.0M–$19.5M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric
Wuppo: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 249k–404k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
MapleStory 2012	Est. copies ≈ 983k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Mixed	MMORPG2D Platformer
Owlboy 2016	Est. copies ≈ 255k–415k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsAdventure
Bread & Fred 2023	Est. copies ≈ 130k–212k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $537k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $976k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Co-opLocal Co-Op
Outcore: Desktop Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 457k–743k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventurePsychological Horror
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania2D Platformer