How much revenue did Rain World make?

$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rain World sell?

Q: How many copies did Rain World sell?

2.0M to 3.2M copies, based on its 57k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.0M–3.2M; $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before the cut; from 57k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rain World out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Rain World's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.6M–37.8M

best case 40.5M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like Rain World

The middle of these games

≈ 12.6M–37.8M copies

≈ $69.5M–$159.2M after Steam's cut

from ~410k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 6), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.9M–50.1M copies, ≈ $42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (3 of 6) and Survival (3 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era: The games you compared span 2004 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 38.8M–63.1M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $213.5M–$574.0M after Steam's cut $388.2M–$883.1M before the cut	$19.99	934k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 30.9M–50.1M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut $77.0M–$175.1M before the cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.1M–$97.1M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before the cut	$14.99	139k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
Counter-Strike: Source 2004	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $33.5M–$90.1M after Steam's cut $60.9M–$138.7M before the cut	$9.99	193k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ShooterFPS
Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–13.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $66.0M–$177.6M after Steam's cut $120.1M–$273.2M before the cut	$29.99	278k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.7M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.1M–$250.3M after Steam's cut $169.3M–$385.1M before the cut	$14.99	543k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft