How much revenue did Spelunky 2 make?

$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Spelunky 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Spelunky 2 sell?

545k to 886k copies, based on its 22k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 545k–886k; $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut; from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spelunky 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spelunky 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.6M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Spelunky 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.6M copies

≈ $16.8M–$28.1M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Female Protagonist + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Katana ZERO 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsAction
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
Ultimate Chicken Horse 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	54k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerParty
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Pizza Tower 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
SANABI 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsStory Rich