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How many copies did Crossing Guard Joe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 205 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crossing Guard Joe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Crossing Guard Joe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 424k–664k
best case 841k (The Crew Motorfest)
Games like Crossing Guard Joe

A typical game among these

≈ 424k–664k copies

≈ $224k–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Crew Motorfest at ≈ 641k–1.0M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 678 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Racing (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $70.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 556k–904k
2.2x vs typical
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Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Arcade2D
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≈ 489k–794k
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Free
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The Crew Motorfest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 641k–1.0M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$12.3M–$33.2M after Steam's cut $22.4M–$51.0M before Steam's cut
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RacingOpen World
Drift86
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$117k–$316k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 349k–567k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$287k–$771k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualClicker

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