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How many copies did Project Wingman sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 556k–904k
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Project Wingman and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project Wingman's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 338k–1.1M
best case 2.2M (ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN)
Games like Project Wingman

A typical game among these

≈ 338k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.9M–$14.3M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (7 of 8) and Military (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + Jet, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Juno: New Origins
2023
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $882k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingScience
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
Ace Combat Assault Horizon - Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 332k–539k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
ActionFlight
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Nuclear Option
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFlight
IL-2 Sturmovik: Battle of Stalingrad
2014
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightRealistic

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.