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How many copies did VTOL VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 752k–1.2M
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
from 22k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VTOL VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VTOL VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–84k
best case 2.4M (Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition)
Games like VTOL VR

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–84k copies

≈ $91k–$211k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 167 to 73k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Open World + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Aircar
2019
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayVR
IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Blitz Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$168k–$453k after Steam's cut $306k–$697k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
X-Plane 11
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
DCS World Steam Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Warplanes: WW1 Fighters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before Steam's cut
$19.99
447 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Jetborne Racing
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$38k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
$9.99
551 reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
63x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
STAR WARS™: Squadrons
2020
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
28k reviews
Mixed
FlightSpace

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