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How many copies did IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Blitz Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–100k
$168k–$453k after Steam's cut $306k–$697k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Blitz Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Blitz Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 87k–224k
best case 702k (Bomber Crew)
Games like IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Blitz Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 87k–224k copies

≈ $541k–$867k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bomber Crew at ≈ 535k–869k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Simulation, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry Management + War + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover
2011
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mixed
SimulationFlight
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$9.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
SimulationFlight
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Warplanes: WW2 Dogfight
2019
Est. copies
≈ 52k–84k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayFlight
Bomber Crew
2017
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
World War IISimulation
Rise of Flight United
2013
Est. copies
≈ 173k–281k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mixed
SimulationFlight
Dogfight 1942
2012
Est. copies
≈ 75k–121k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$205k–$551k after Steam's cut $373k–$847k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
Battlestations Pacific
2009
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
World War IIStrategy

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