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How many copies did ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
from 57k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 254k–731k
best case 730k (Project Wingman)
Games like ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN

A typical game among these

≈ 254k–731k copies

≈ $1.9M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Project Wingman at ≈ 556k–904k copies, ≈ $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 681 reviews in their first month; the range was 318 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + Jet, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nuclear Option
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFlight
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
X-Plane 12
2022
Est. copies
≈ 164k–266k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Project Wingman
2020
Est. copies
≈ 556k–904k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
FlightAction
Ace Combat Assault Horizon - Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 332k–539k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
ActionFlight
Flyout
2023
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$313k–$842k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox
IL-2 Sturmovik: Battle of Stalingrad
2014
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightRealistic

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