How much revenue did Juno: New Origins make?

$485k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Juno: New Origins sell?

Q: How many copies did Juno: New Origins sell?

88k to 143k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 88k–143k; $485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $882k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Juno: New Origins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Juno: New Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 91k–244k

best case 9.4M (Kerbal Space Program)

Games like Juno: New Origins

A typical game among these

≈ 91k–244k copies

≈ $707k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kerbal Space Program at ≈ 7.2M–11.7M copies, ≈ $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 235 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Space (6 of 8) and Space Sim (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Physics + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M 39x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Kerbal Space Program 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 794k–1.3M 8.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.9M–$29.4M after Steam's cut $19.9M–$45.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	32k reviews Mostly Negative	SpaceSandbox
Mars Horizon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 77k–125k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ManagementSpace
Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 63k–102k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $344k–$924k after Steam's cut $625k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mixed	Sci-fiAction Roguelike
Spaceflight Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 243k–395k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace Sim
Terraformers 2023	Est. copies ≈ 93k–151k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $931k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	SimulationProcedural Generation
SpaceBourne 2 2025	Est. copies ≈ 128k–208k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $704k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessRPG