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How many copies did Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–88k
$296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 959k–6.0M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor

A typical game among these

≈ 959k–6.0M copies

≈ $7.6M–$67.6M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 93k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (8 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.5M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Starfield
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
175k reviews
Mixed
SpaceSingleplayer
X4: Foundations
2018
Est. copies
≈ 920k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSimulation
Cosmoteer: Starship Architect & Commander
2022
Est. copies
≈ 320k–521k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiSingleplayer
Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementDiplomacy
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive
Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox

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