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wishvane

How many copies did X4: Foundations sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 915k–1.5M
$12.6M–$33.8M after Steam's cut $22.9M–$52.0M before the cut
from 30k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left X4: Foundations out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including X4: Foundations's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.7M
best case 22.7M (No Man's Sky)
Games like X4: Foundations

The middle of these games

≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies

≈ $12.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.3M–28.1M copies, ≈ $285.6M–$767.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Space (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$78.6M–$211.3M after Steam's cut $142.9M–$325.1M before the cut
$39.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Oxygen Not Included
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.7M–$117.5M before the cut
$24.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.5M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.6M after Steam's cut $52.5M–$119.4M before the cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.7M before the cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.3M–28.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$285.6M–$767.9M after Steam's cut $519.3M–$1181.5M before the cut
$59.99
416k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before the cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.9M–$34.7M after Steam's cut $23.5M–$53.4M before the cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
EVE Online
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceFree to Play

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