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How many copies did Obsideo sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Obsideo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Obsideo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.7M–19.3M
best case 51.1M (Dead by Daylight)
Games like Obsideo

A typical game among these

≈ 5.7M–19.3M copies

≈ $32.8M–$215.0M after Steam's cut

from ~291k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 39.0M–63.3M copies, ≈ $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 143k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Co-op (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalRealistic
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
235k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Escape the Backrooms
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
167k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer

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