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How many copies did Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$434k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.9M–106.2M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Fursan al-Aqsa: The Knights of the Al-Aqsa Mosque

A typical game among these

≈ 14.9M–106.2M copies

≈ $78.4M–$146.5M after Steam's cut

from ~565k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 143k reviews in their first month; the range was 57k to 165k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalRealistic
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP

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