How much revenue did Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) make?

$32k–$87k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) sell?

Q: How many copies did Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 236 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $32k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$133k before Steam's cut; from 236 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.1M–51.1M

best case 51.1M (Dead by Daylight)

Games like Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!)

A typical game among these

≈ 7.1M–51.1M copies

≈ $149.0M–$305.6M after Steam's cut

from ~150k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 39.0M–63.3M copies, ≈ $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 46 to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 39.0M–63.3M 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	937k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Killing Floor 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	129k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesMultiplayer
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
DRAGON BALL: THE BREAKERS 2022	Est. copies ≈ 163k–265k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $898k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Mixed	MultiplayerAnime
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six® Vegas 2 2008	Est. copies ≈ 387k–629k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	TacticalAction
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	150k reviews Mixed	Football (Soccer)Sports
Peekaboo Lite 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	167 reviews Mixed	Early AccessAction