How much revenue did Aqua Boy make?

$476–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Aqua Boy sell?

Q: How many copies did Aqua Boy sell?

347 to 564 copies, based on its 14 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 347–564; $476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut; from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aqua Boy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aqua Boy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 169k–2.9M

best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)

Games like Aqua Boy

A typical game among these

≈ 169k–2.9M copies

≈ $1.3M–$31.4M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 763 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
Blasphemous 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	68k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022	Est. copies ≈ 792k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RPG2D
Laika: Aged Through Blood 2023	Est. copies ≈ 167k–272k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $919k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericArcade
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
The Mobius Machine 2024	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $67k–$181k after Steam's cut $123k–$279k before Steam's cut	$19.99	495 reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
ASCENXION 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$9.99	43 reviews Positive	Shoot 'Em UpMetroidvania
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like