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How many copies did Warlordocracy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 769–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 31 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warlordocracy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warlordocracy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 856k–1.6M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Warlordocracy

A typical game among these

≈ 856k–1.6M copies

≈ $7.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share CRPG (7 of 8) and Fantasy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldur's Gate: Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
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RPGFantasy
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
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$44.99
206k reviews
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Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire
2018
Est. copies
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$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
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2013
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGDungeons & Dragons
Pillars of Eternity
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.6M before Steam's cut
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RPGIsometric
Tyranny
2016
Est. copies
≈ 560k–909k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGChoices Matter
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.8M–$47.8M after Steam's cut $32.3M–$73.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based
Pathfinder: Kingmaker — Enhanced Plus Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG

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