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How many copies did Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 114k–185k
$782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–208k
best case 450k (Dicey Dungeons)
Games like Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–208k copies

≈ $232k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 4 similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dicey Dungeons at ≈ 343k–558k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 901 reviews in their first month; the range was 262 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (3 of 4) and Deckbuilding (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Battler, priced around $15.
When they shipped
2 of the 4 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Circadian Dice
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
$5.99
606 reviews
Very Positive
Dice & Fold
2024
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$347k–$934k after Steam's cut $631k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$12.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDungeon Crawler
Slice & Dice
2024
Est. copies
≈ 64k–105k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$159k–$428k after Steam's cut $290k–$659k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyRogue-like
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.