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How many copies did Dragon War sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon War and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon War's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–1k
best case 17k (Seal: WHAT the FUN)
Games like Dragon War

A typical game among these

≈ 98–1k copies

≈ $69–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Seal: WHAT the FUN at ≈ 13k–21k copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 464 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Seal: WHAT the FUN
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
57x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
512 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
FMTC
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$7.00
81 reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMOBA
Monkey Doo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$14.99
11 reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterPrecision Platformer
Anime Girls VS Soldiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualSpectacle fighter
Pitched Battle
2020
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
ActionCasual
TNMverse VIP
2023
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$199.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionBattle Royale
极限求生
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23 reviews
Mixed
MMORPGBattle Royale
BOM BOM BOMBIAN ~ ボン ボン ボンビアン ~
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $62–$140 before Steam's cut
$4.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Early AccessAction

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