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How many copies did FMTC sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 81 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FMTC and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FMTC's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–1.2M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like FMTC

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–1.2M copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 154 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 232.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (6 of 8) and MOBA (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy under 20k
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IndieRPG
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
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≈ 95.8M–155.7M
1749x vs typical
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Mixed
SurvivalShooter
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Free to PlayBattle Royale
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Early AccessHero Shooter
Surviv.io - 2D Battle Royale
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Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
1.8x vs typical
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Battle RoyaleTop-Down Shooter
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Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$179–$479 after Steam's cut $325–$737 before Steam's cut
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2 user reviews
ShooterArcade
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≈ 235k–381k
5.1x vs typical
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Battle RoyaleFree to Play
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Est. copies
≈ 461–749
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
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Mixed
IndieAction

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