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How big is Battlerite Royale?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 235k–381k
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Battlerite Royale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Battlerite Royale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–4.7M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Battlerite Royale

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–4.7M copies

≈ $6k–$21k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 154 reviews in their first month; the range was 39 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (6 of 8) and MOBA (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
978x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Shadow Arena
2020
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
ActionFree to Play
SMITE®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
42x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMOBA
Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Hunting fields of Jackals
2019
Est. copies
≈ 461–749
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$17.99
16 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Agents: Biohunters
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
273 reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessHero Shooter
Don't Fall
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeCasual
Egress
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
$14.99
156 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie

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