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How many copies did Blast Beat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blast Beat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blast Beat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 115k–172k
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like Blast Beat

A typical game among these

≈ 115k–172k copies

≈ $612k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 277 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (6 of 8) and Music (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Music + Anime + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EZ2ON REBOOT : R
2022
Est. copies
≈ 156k–253k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction
Pistol Whip
2019
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Ragnarock
2021
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$547k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $995k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
3on3 FreeStyle: Rebound
2020
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
BasketballTeam-Based
Waveform
2012
Est. copies
≈ 135k–220k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $134k–$306k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
DJMAX RESPECT V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 867k–1.4M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Synth Riders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$332k–$892k after Steam's cut $603k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
VRRhythm
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.