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How many copies did Pine Hearts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
from 122 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pine Hearts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pine Hearts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 145k–309k
best case 452k (Little Kitty, Big City)
Games like Pine Hearts

A typical game among these

≈ 145k–309k copies

≈ $871k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Kitty, Big City at ≈ 345k–560k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 789 reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cozy (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Wholesome, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TOEM: A Photo Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CozyWholesome
LEGO® Builder's Journey
2021
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$589k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
IndieCute
Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley
2024
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$973k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$32.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ColorfulPuzzle
Little Kitty, Big City
2024
Est. copies
≈ 345k–560k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsCute
A Castle Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$511k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
LOST EMBER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 149k–243k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
Alba: A Wildlife Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 208k–339k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$974k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualWholesome
A Building Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $167k–$381k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.