How much revenue did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley make?

$585k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley sell?

Q: How many copies did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley sell?

106k to 173k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 106k–173k; $585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–10.7M

best case 12.1M (Hogwarts Legacy)

Games like Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley

The middle of these games

≈ 4.2M–10.7M copies

≈ $53.5M–$99.4M after Steam's cut

from ~158k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 38k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 171k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.4M–$143.5M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.8M before the cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.5M–$79.2M after Steam's cut $53.6M–$121.9M before the cut	$39.99	88k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $51.8M–$139.4M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.4M before the cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.5M–$149.2M after Steam's cut $100.9M–$229.5M before the cut	$39.99	175k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.8M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.2M before the cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.3M–$49.2M after Steam's cut $33.3M–$75.7M before the cut	$24.99	107k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $152.1M–$408.9M after Steam's cut $276.5M–$629.1M before the cut	$59.99	372k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World