How much revenue did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley make?

$973k–$2.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley sell?

Q: How many copies did Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley sell?

107k to 174k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 107k–174k; $973k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–10.7M

best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)

Games like Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley

A typical game among these

≈ 4.2M–10.7M copies

≈ $53.8M–$99.9M after Steam's cut

from ~158k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 38k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 171k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	89k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World