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How many copies did Sigil of the Magi sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 55 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sigil of the Magi and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sigil of the Magi's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 387k–450k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Sigil of the Magi

A typical game among these

≈ 387k–450k copies

≈ $2.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (7 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Card Game + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Luck be a Landlord
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
月圆之夜 (Night of Full Moon)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameFree to Play
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Book of Demons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.