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How many copies did Voxel Farm Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$655–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Voxel Farm Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Voxel Farm Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 214k–1.0M
best case 3.0M (Manor Lords)
Games like Voxel Farm Island

A typical game among these

≈ 214k–1.0M copies

≈ $1.4M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Manor Lords at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies, ≈ $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 675 to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Base-Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Ostriv
2020
Est. copies
≈ 191k–310k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Littlewood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
The Lost Village
2024
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$257k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Base-BuildingResource Management
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard
2023
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDating Sim
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Autonauts
2019
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$787k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationProgramming
Timberborn
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.9M after Steam's cut $18.2M–$41.4M before Steam's cut
$34.99
42k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
City BuilderVoxel

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