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How many copies did Sludge Fighters sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sludge Fighters and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sludge Fighters's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–3.4M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Sludge Fighters

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–3.4M copies

≈ $51k–$15.2M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 189 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (5 of 8) and Party (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
GigaBash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$368k–$990k after Steam's cut $669k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroAction
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Party Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
79k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Mad Streets
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$14.99
243 reviews
Very Positive
PartyStylized
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
A Gummy's Life
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before Steam's cut
$19.99
211 reviews
Very Positive
Party GameCute
Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$13.99
19 reviews
Positive
MultiplayerCasual

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