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How many copies did DSX sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 221k–358k
$485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $881k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DSX and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DSX's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 32k–228k
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like DSX

A typical game among these

≈ 32k–228k copies

≈ $33k–$477k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 343 reviews in their first month; the range was 145 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (7 of 8) and Utilities (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + First-Person + NSFW; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
66x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
771x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
GameGuru Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$563k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Game DevelopmentSoftware
Ai Vpet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$1.99
448 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationCasual
Are you ready for Valve Index?
2019
Est. copies
≈ 28k–46k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
989 reviews
Very Positive
VRUtilities
Desktop Magic Engine
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$22k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut
$3.99
795 reviews
Mostly Positive
UtilitiesAnimation & Modeling
FlowScape
2019
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$157k–$422k after Steam's cut $285k–$649k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox
RetroArch
2022
Est. copies
≈ 244k–397k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayRetro

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.