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How many copies did Threes! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 60 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Threes! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Threes!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 217k–499k
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Threes!

A typical game among these

≈ 217k–499k copies

≈ $567k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zuma's Revenge!
2009
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
2011
Est. copies
≈ 164k–266k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyPuzzle
MatchR: Now Hiring
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Rogue-lite
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
10,000,000
2013
Est. copies
≈ 150k–244k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$206k–$553k after Steam's cut $374k–$851k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Indie
The Legend of Bum-Bo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$705k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteIndie
Minesweeper: Collector
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$7.99
139 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.