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How many copies did IllusionCircle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$662–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 98 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IllusionCircle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IllusionCircle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 40k (Malware)
Games like IllusionCircle

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $3k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~82 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Malware at ≈ 30k–49k copies, ≈ $25k–$67k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 706.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (8 of 8) and Point & Click (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Point & Click, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Hidden Object + Casual + Flight; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$2.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPoint & Click
Katy & Bob: Cake Cafe
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
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CasualStrategy
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
1.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
154 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Doodle Harmony
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
Point & ClickCreature Collector
Malware
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
DGGWare
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$8.99
70 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerMinigames
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
74 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationTrading Card Game
Plantabi: Little Garden
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$6.99
83 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.