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How many copies did Malware sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Malware and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Malware's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 140k–480k
best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)
Games like Malware

A typical game among these

≈ 140k–480k copies

≈ $294k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 963 reviews in their first month; the range was 472 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Point & Click (8 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Morphopolis
2014
Est. copies
≈ 272k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleIndie
Pleasure Puzzle:Portrait 趣拼拼:肖像画
2018
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ColorfulTabletop
Papers, Please
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePolitical
That's not my Neighbor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$97k–$261k after Steam's cut $177k–$402k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
Duck Simulator 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 71k–115k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationAdventure
Death and Taxes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$12.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
SIMULACRA
2017
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$221k–$595k after Steam's cut $402k–$915k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDetective

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