How much revenue did SIMULACRA make?

$221k–$595k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SIMULACRA sell?

Q: How many copies did SIMULACRA sell?

161k to 262k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 161k–262k; $221k–$595k after Steam's cut $402k–$915k before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SIMULACRA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SIMULACRA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–4.7M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like SIMULACRA

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–4.7M copies

≈ $8.7M–$36.4M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Multiplayer + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveMystery
Hacknet 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Very Positive	HackingSimulation
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Unheard - Voices of Crime 2019	Est. copies ≈ 981k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut	$6.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectivePuzzle
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeDetective
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition 2010	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–9.0M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionStealth
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World