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How big is Duck Simulator 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 71k–115k
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Duck Simulator 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duck Simulator 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–29k
best case 51k (FACEMINER)
Games like Duck Simulator 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–29k copies

≈ $778–$37k after Steam's cut

from ~115 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FACEMINER at ≈ 39k–63k copies, ≈ $85k–$229k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the range was 23 to 399.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (7 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Simulation, priced around $8.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FACEMINER
2025
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$85k–$229k after Steam's cut $155k–$352k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerSimulation
Synth Retro Vapor Wave
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$439–$1k after Steam's cut $798–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
65 reviews
Mostly Positive
AtmosphericSurreal
Plankton
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$0.99
127 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
Bird
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
NatureFlight
Forget Me Not: My Organic Garden
2015
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $108k–$245k before Steam's cut
$9.99
442 reviews
Very Positive
IndieSimulation
Progress Bar Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$800–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
102 reviews
Very Positive
Immersive SimSatire
Alzheimer's: Memories
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$317–$853 after Steam's cut $577–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
47 reviews
Positive
SimulationCasual
I KNOW YOUR ADDRESS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$371–$998 after Steam's cut $675–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
MinigamesComedy

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