How much revenue did Bird make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bird sell?

Q: How many copies did Bird sell?

25k to 41k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–41k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bird and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bird's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–8k

best case 738k (Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024)

Games like Bird

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–8k copies

≈ $9k–$79k after Steam's cut

from ~78 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 at ≈ 562k–913k copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 35 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 9k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Flight (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $70. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Hobby Sim + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
AWAY: The Survival Series 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$215k before Steam's cut	$19.99	382 reviews Mixed	IndieExploration
Buzludzha VR 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$11.99	48 reviews Positive	IndieAdventure
Fugl 2017	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k 8.3x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut	$9.99	647 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessFlight
Disc Golf Online 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut	$14.99	57 reviews Very Positive	GolfSimulation
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 2024	Est. copies ≈ 562k–913k 291x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	23k reviews Mixed	SimulationFlight
Hazeron Starship 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut	$19.99	104 reviews Very Positive	ExplorationFPS
FLEX Disc Golf 2023	Est. copies ≈ 719–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $987–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$4.99	29 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationCasual
FireJumpers Inferno 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	78 reviews Mixed	Grand StrategyFlight