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How many copies did Bird sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before the cut
from 995 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Bird out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bird's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–8k
best case 671k (Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024)
The Flight genre

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit. A niche genre: plan for a small audience.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 2k–8k copies
≈ $9k–$77k after Steam's cut
from ~76 reviews
Best case
≈ 511k–831k copies
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 · ≈ $9.8M–$26.5M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
The launch
The games that made it here had roughly 2 to 9k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
Your set
Your set clusters on Flight (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $70. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Hobby Sim + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

AWAY: The Survival Series
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$213k before the cut
$19.99
377 reviews
Mixed
IndieExploration
Buzludzha VR
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
$11.99
48 reviews
Positive
IndieAdventure
Fugl
2017
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$61k–$163k after Steam's cut $110k–$251k before the cut
$9.99
642 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFlight
Disc Golf Online
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before the cut
$14.99
57 reviews
Very Positive
GolfSimulation
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 511k–831k
280x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.5M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before the cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Mixed
SimulationFlight
Hazeron Starship
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before the cut
$19.99
104 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationFPS
FLEX Disc Golf
2023
Est. copies
≈ 696–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$955–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$4.99
29 reviews
Positive
SimulationCasual
FireJumpers Inferno
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76 reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.