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How many copies did Fugl sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
from 647 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fugl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fugl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 76k–384k
best case 1.7M (Besiege)
Games like Fugl

A typical game among these

≈ 76k–384k copies

≈ $1.0M–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Besiege at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 800 reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (6 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Sandbox, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bird
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
NatureFlight
SpaceEngine
2019
Est. copies
≈ 480k–779k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessOpen World
Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$958k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightSimulation
Insect Swarm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FlightShooter
Starpoint Gemini 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
4k reviews
Mixed
SpaceSimulation
X-Plane 12
2022
Est. copies
≈ 164k–266k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
SKYE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFree to Play

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