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How many copies did SpaceEngine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 480k–779k
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SpaceEngine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SpaceEngine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.5M–30.4M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like SpaceEngine

A typical game among these

≈ 7.5M–30.4M copies

≈ $55.0M–$103.9M after Steam's cut

from ~345k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Wallpaper Engine
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Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
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2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
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SimulationDriving
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before Steam's cut
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158k reviews
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CuteExploration
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≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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AutomationBase-Building
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≈ 19.4M–31.6M
1.6x vs typical
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Free to PlaySurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
8.1x vs typical
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2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.