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How many copies did Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
from 227 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 125k–208k
best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)
Games like Sekai to Sekai no Mannaka de

A typical game among these

≈ 125k–208k copies

≈ $349k–$897k after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 714 reviews in their first month; the range was 113 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Historical + Cooking + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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13x vs typical
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≈ 240k–390k
2.1x vs typical
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1.5x vs typical
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AdventureMystery

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