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How many copies did Toy War - Cannon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toy War - Cannon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toy War - Cannon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–89k
best case 134k (Neon Echo)
Games like Toy War - Cannon

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–89k copies

≈ $195k–$775k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon Echo at ≈ 102k–166k copies, ≈ $420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 189 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Side Scroller, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hidden Build Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 967–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$199.99
39 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerTactical RPG
天缘传说
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29 reviews
Mixed
RPGFemale Protagonist
GREED IS GOOD
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
764 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessTactical RPG
Woolfe - The Red Hood Diaries
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76k–124k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$210k–$563k after Steam's cut $381k–$867k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Song of Iron
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$67k–$181k after Steam's cut $122k–$279k before Steam's cut
$19.99
494 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSide Scroller
Neon Echo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$420k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $764k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeAction
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$106k–$284k after Steam's cut $192k–$437k before Steam's cut
$29.99
517 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSingleplayer
Disney Epic Mickey: Rebrushed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerAction-Adventure

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